A Suggested Module for Risk Framework of Water Control Construction Projects using Qualitative and Quantitative Techniques
Omar Mohamed1, Mohamed Nour2, Iman Elazizy3, Mona Hagras4
1Omar Mohamed*, Ph.D. Student of Irrigation and Hydraulics Engineering Department / Faculty of Engineering – Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
2Mohamed Nour, Professor of Irrigation and Hydraulics Engineering Department / Faculty of Engineering – Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
3Iman Elazizy, Professor of Irrigation and Hydraulics Engineering Department / Faculty of Engineering – Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
4Mona hagras, Associated Professor of Irrigation and Hydraulics Department /Faculty of Engineering – Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
Manuscript received on February 06, 2020. | Revised Manuscript received on February 10, 2020. | Manuscript published on February 30, 2020. | PP: 1448-1454 | Volume-9 Issue-3, February, 2020. | Retrieval Number: C5108029320/2020©BEIESP | DOI: 10.35940/ijeat.C5108.029320
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© The Authors. Blue Eyes Intelligence Engineering and Sciences Publication (BEIESP). This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Abstract: Managing risk is an integral part of sound management and risk management helps to achieve projects objectives. Although the process of risk management is standardized to a great extent, risk control strategies depend on project circumstances and feature. One of the essential humanity’s challenges in the future, is surely ensuring water needs. Equitable and sustainable management of water resources is a major global challenge, and supply of clean fresh water is decreasing around all nations. Egypt is one of the countries hardest affected by climate change. Also challenges include population growth, increase in food demand and Lack of water and energy Leads to let managing risk for construction of water control structures projects on water streams in Egypt becomes more challenging and essential than ever before. Moreover, this study aims to show the effect of risk on cost and time targets for water control structure projects in Egypt .This study mainly identify a list of significant risk factors effecting on cost and time for these type of projects in Egypt through studying pervious publishing for risk management in construction projects and a questionnaire survey , then conducting a qualitative analysis using a Severity and Probability matrix (S/P matrix) techniques to assess the influence of risk factors and to isolate critical risk factors for a quantitative analysis. Finally, conducting a quantitative analysis by mean of Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) to determine the cost and time contingency, s the conclusion of this study shows that the cost contingency needed to account for the different critical risk factors is to increase the estimated cost by 12.35 % on the total estimated budget of the project. In addition that the time contingency needed to consider for different critical risk factors is to increase the scheduled time by 11.25% over the total originally scheduled of the project.
Keywords: Risk, risk management, construction projects, water control structure projects in Egypt.