Development of Probability Concept for Thermal Fatigue Life Cycle Prediction
Nirajkumar Mehta1, Shail Shah2, Dipesh Shukla3, Aditya Maheshwari4, Prasun Chakrabarti5
1Nirajkumar Mehta, Associate Professor, ITM Universe, Vadodara (Gujarat), India.
2Shail Shah, Assistant Professor, ITM Universe, Vadodara (Gujarat), India.
3Dipesh Shukla, Director, Amity University, Jaipur (Rajasthan), India.
4Aditya Maheshwari, Director, Amity University, Jaipur (Rajasthan), India.
5Prasun Chakrabarti, Techno India NJR Institute of Technology, Udaipur (Rajasthan), India.
Manuscript received on 15 March 2020 | Revised Manuscript received on 22 March 2020 | Manuscript Published on 30 March 2020 | PP: 57-60 | Volume-9 Issue-3S March 2020 | Retrieval Number: C10100393S20/20©BEIESP | DOI: 10.35940/ijeat.C1010.0393S20
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© The Authors. Blue Eyes Intelligence Engineering and Sciences Publication (BEIESP). This is an open access article under the CC-BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)

Abstract: Furnaces are most commonly used for melting of Ferrous Metals and its alloy materials. Induction furnaces use Electrical Power so that they are more advantageous as no fuel is required. It is a very critical problem to find life span of Induction Melting Furnace Wall under thermal load variation. The life cycle of induction furnace refractory wall is a variable as minor variation is always present due to effect of skill of workers and many other factors. The life cycle of furnace wall will vary minor with some miscellaneous factors and cannot be justified as a single value always. The probability concept is utilized here in the forecast of life cycle calculation to justify the miscellaneous factors effected for the damage of the induction furnace refractory wall. The probability concept initially defines a minimum life of induction furnace wall for a certain case then it is assumed to vary with different probability as given below. So, all the cases of induction furnace wall are having minimum life always but some cases of induction furnace wall are having much longer life. It is due to effect from many miscellaneous factors like skills of workers, efficiency of workers, raw material quality used for construction of wall, tools applied for ramming of it, row material employed for melting, etc.
Keywords: Induction Furnace, Heat Transfer, Probability Concept, Life Cycle Prediction.
Scope of the Article: Life Cycle Engineering