The Causality of Deviation from the Optimal Parameters of a Regional Demographic System
Evgeniya Vladimirovna Kabitova1, Svetlana Valentinovna Yudina2, Svetlana Anatolyevna Ashirova3
1Evgeniya Vladimirovna Kabitova*, Almetyevsk branch of the Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education “Kazan National Research Technical University named after A.N. Tupolev-KAI”, Almetyevsk, Russia.
2Svetlana Valentinovna Yudina, Almetyevsk branch of the Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education “Kazan National Research Technical University named after A.N. Tupolev-KAI”, Almetyevsk, Russia.
3Svetlana Anatolyevna Ashirova, Almetyevsk branch of the Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education “Kazan National Research Technical University named after A.N. Tupolev-KAI”, Almetyevsk, Russia.
Manuscript received on September 23, 2019. | Revised Manuscript received on October 15, 2019. | Manuscript published on October 30, 2019. | PP: 5559-5564 | Volume-9 Issue-1, October 2019 | Retrieval Number: A2105109119/2019©BEIESP | DOI: 10.35940/ijeat.A2105.109119
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© The Authors. Blue Eyes Intelligence Engineering and Sciences Publication (BEIESP). This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Abstract: This study is based on the identification of causal relationships that determine the current trends in the demographic system of the regions of the Russian Federation. The achievement of optimal parameters of the demographic system is a factor in the implementation of the principle of sustainable development of territories. Demographic behavior is explained from the perspective of an institutional approach and is defined as a reaction and adaptation to changes in the institutional environment. From the standpoint of determinism, the response of the demographic system can be defined as a consequence and causality as the influence of the institutional environment. An attempt to formalize conclusions about the influence of the institutional environment on the demographic parameters of the territory and the application of mathematical research methods have allowed the authors to conclude that the economic well-being of the population was the dominant factor in the increase of the birth rate.
Keywords: Causal relationships, sustainable development, institutional approach, demographic system, Volga Federal District, statistical research methods.